Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.116594 0.125237 0.134194 0.144176 0.154995 0.166374 0.179257
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.104657 0.117640 0.131789 0.148381 0.167344 0.188382 0.213548
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.094660 0.109686 0.126624 0.147188 0.171557 0.199608 0.234477
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086936 0.103230 0.122103 0.145671 0.174441 0.208578 0.252389
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.079565 0.096439 0.116437 0.142014 0.174035 0.213031 0.264474
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076262 0.094209 0.115938 0.144352 0.180778 0.226239 0.287792
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071400 0.089671 0.112205 0.142251 0.181579 0.231734 0.301229
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067439 0.085993 0.109272 0.140875 0.183048 0.237930 0.315641
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063012 0.081450 0.104939 0.137350 0.181363 0.239697 0.323947
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059825 0.078344 0.102288 0.135846 0.182193 0.244721 0.336782
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057553 0.076324 0.100942 0.135971 0.185153 0.252667 0.353966
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054667 0.073330 0.098122 0.133890 0.184869 0.255972 0.364526
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052421 0.071161 0.096397 0.133338 0.186828 0.262703 0.380699
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051831 0.071262 0.097809 0.137276 0.195407 0.279374 0.412591
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049656 0.069022 0.095812 0.136178 0.196516 0.285055 0.427998
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047550 0.066782 0.093703 0.134788 0.197070 0.289852 0.442173
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044998 0.063792 0.090382 0.131434 0.194467 0.289668 0.448375
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044217 0.063347 0.090736 0.133578 0.200315 0.302694 0.476363
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042338 0.061202 0.088489 0.131652 0.199729 0.305578 0.487863
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040756 0.059437 0.086733 0.130390 0.200097 0.309935 0.501950
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038747 0.056953 0.083797 0.127156 0.197156 0.308786 0.506595
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037328 0.055316 0.082088 0.125776 0.197121 0.312330 0.519390
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036361 0.054335 0.081345 0.125892 0.199505 0.319929 0.539574